US’s outlook for Natural gas exporting

The conflict in Ukraine is one of the current hot topics. Several days ago, in order to weak the counter force from EU countries, Putin played his trump card: raise the natural gas price in Ukraine. As a big country that riches in all kinds of natural resources especially energy, Russia has been holding the pipelines that transfer natural gas into EU and making the later alter strategy in this game.

So far the west have threated to commit sanctions on Russia’s action of occupying the Crimea region, however due to the problem of natural gas, those commitments are more like to be non-credible threatens. The head countries in EU like UK and German are bounded by such a concern, and the graph below from NYT can shows that major buyers of the Gazprom – Russia’s largest state-owned natural gas company.

0305-for-webGAS-artboard_1

We can see that German and Britain are in the list. Actually according to this article in WSJ, Six countries in Europe import 100% of their gas from Russia, and an additional seven rely on it for at least half. It is beyond doubt that Russia has its considerable influence on the attitudes of the EU countries on this affair. U.K. Foreign Secretary William Hague said European nations may need to “recast their approach” to Russian energy purchases if the crisis isn’t resolved.

Also reported in WSJ, Obama’s government is taking measures to curb the Russia’s stranglehold over EU’s natural gas supply. US is currently one of the biggest natural gas production nations in the world due to one of its most advancing tech in this field names fracking. The strategy is increasing natural gas exporting to EU from US thus undercut natural gas imported from Russia. Compare to Russia, US has big cost advantage. As the graph from BP’s official site showed below, natural gas price keeps falling over recent years in North America. The price in US is far lower than that of Asia and Europe.

In this strategy of US, big oil and gas production firms like ExxonMobil benefit a lot from it, while environmentalists and small natural gas companies strongly oppose such a claim. In my point of view, it is unstoppable for US government to apply this strategy not only because it can set a restriction on Russia, but also it is a good opportunity to develop natural gas exporting industrial, which is just on its start-up.

Overall, the US strategy is a good news for the reason that it may help a lot to the establishment of the global natural gas market, which will benefit the people around the world and accelerate the process of clear energy movement. I hope that the US government can take this chance to do something really helpful for the economy, but not just a change to strike its main opponent.